Discussion paper DP19564 Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections Richard Calvo Vincent Pons Jesse Shapiro 8 Oct 2024 Political Economy D72 J11 C53 P00
Discussion paper DP19483 Nowcasting Recession Risk Francesco Furno Domenico Giannone 16 Sep 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations E32 C32 C53
Discussion paper DP19426 A Bayesian Approach for Inference on Probabilistic Surveys Federico Bassetti Roberto Casarin Marco Del Negro 3 Sep 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C14 C53 C82 E31 E32 E37
Discussion paper DP19381 Bayesian Neural Networks for Macroeconomic Analysis Niko Hauzenberger Florian Huber Karin Klieber Massimiliano Marcellino 19 Aug 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C30 C45 C53 E3 E44
Discussion paper DP19266 Returns to Data: Evidence from Web Tracking Hannes Ullrich Jonas Hannane Christian Peukert Luis Aguiar Tomaso Duso 19 Jul 2024 Industrial Organization C53 D22 D43 K21 L13 L4
Discussion paper DP19198 Predicting Retirement and Social Security Claiming Decisions using Machine Learning Alexander Kwon Lilia Maliar 1 Jul 2024 Public Economics C53 H55 J14 J26
Discussion paper DP19129 Risky Oil: It's All in the Tails Christiane Baumeister Florian Huber Massimiliano Marcellino 3 Jun 2024 International Macroeconomics and Finance Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C53 Q41 Q47
Discussion paper DP18970 Bayesian nonparametric methods for macroeconomic forecasting Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer 5 Apr 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C53
Discussion paper DP18901 Specification Choices in Quantile Regression for Empirical Macroeconomics Andrea Carriero Todd Clark Massimiliano Marcellino 9 Mar 2024 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C53 E17 E37 F47
Discussion paper DP18560 Bayesian Estimation of Panel Models under Potentially Sparse Heterogeneity Hyungsik Roger Moon Frank Schorfheide Boyuan Zhang 29 Oct 2023 Macroeconomics and Growth Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C23 C53 E20
Discussion paper DP18549 Investigating Growth-at-Risk Using a Multicountry Non-parametric Quantile Factor Model Todd Clark Florian Huber Gary Koop Massimiliano Marcellino Michael Pfarrhofer 24 Oct 2023 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C11 C32 C53
Discussion paper DP18432 Labour at risk Vasco Botelho Claudia Foroni Andrea Renzetti 7 Sep 2023 Monetary Economics and Fluctuations C32 C53 E24 E27
